Good News for China's Semiconductor Industry!

June 16, 2025

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In a surprising turn of events, Micron Technology has adopted a conciliatory approach regarding its ongoing legal disputesThis shift marks a significant development in the world of semiconductor manufacturing.

Recent reports from Bloomberg indicate that Micron has reached a global settlement with Fujian Jin Hua Integrated Circuit CompanyA spokesperson for Micron indicated via email that "both companies will dismiss all complaints filed against each other around the world and put an end to all litigation," yet chose not to disclose further details regarding the terms of the settlement.

Back in 2017, Micron took a firm stance by suing Fujian Jin Hua and its partner United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) over allegations of stealing trade secrets related to memory chipsThis legal battle escalated when the U.SDepartment of Commerce added Fujian Jin Hua to its Entity List for export control, although the case from the U.SDepartment of Justice remains unresolved, casting uncertainty over the future of these two companies.

The mutual agreement to resolve their disputes could be seen as a favorable outcome for Fujian Jin Hua and a potential boon for the memory chip industryThe sector appears to be recovering, with new investment opportunities likely arising amidst these changes.

Micron's sudden shift in public stance towards its former rival is noteworthy.

In the email, Micron reiterated that a global agreement had been reached with Fujian Jin Hua

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The statement emphasized the dismissal of complaints and all litigation, while the latter company failed to provide any immediate comment outside of business hours regarding this significant development.

This step follows China's previous actions to ban Micron chips from entry into "critical infrastructure" due to security concernsSimultaneously, the United States has maintained a collaborative approach with its allies to prevent China from accessing advanced semiconductor technologies.

Earlier in June, Micron warned that nearly half of its sales tied to customers based in China could be affected, accounting for a "low double-digit percentage" of its global revenueNotably, approximately one-fourth of Micron's overall revenue stemmed from operations within mainland China and Hong Kong.

In an effort to mend relations, Micron announced a substantial investment of 43 billion yuan (around $6.02 billion) to enhance its chip packaging factory in Xi'anIn November, Micron's President and CEO Sanjay Mehrotra met with Wang Wentao, China’s Minister of Commerce, in Beijing, where they discussed business progression in China and the planned investment in Xi'an.

To grasp the background of these legal entanglements, it’s crucial to look back at their beginnings.

In 2017, the lawsuit initiated by Micron against Fujian Jin Hua and UMC accused these firms of the illicit acquisition of Micron's proprietary memory chip technology

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The U.SDepartment of Commerce subsequently placed Fujian Jin Hua on the Entity List, citing national security threats that rendered U.S. companies prohibited from selling their software, technology, and products to them.

UMC also declared its decision to halt technology development for Jin HuaWith the settlements now in place, U.S. prosecutors agreed to drop severe charges pertaining to economic espionage and conspiracy to commit intellectual property theft, although the Department of Justice's case against Jin Hua remains pending.

This sequence of events clearly hampered the growth aspirations of Fujian Jin Hua, which initially planned to leverage UMC’s manufacturing know-howThe first phase of the entire Jin Hua project was slated for a total investment of $5.3 billion, expecting to begin production in the third quarter of 2018, using a 32-nanometer process with a projected monthly output of 60,000 wafersThe long-term goal was to roll out 20-nanometer products by 2025, eventually ramping monthly output to 240,000 wafersHowever, Micron's actions undoubtedly constrained Jin Hua's operational capabilities.

Interestingly, the semiconductor industry now appears to be entering a phase of recovery.

With prices for memory and storage already rising, Micron's CEO noted that data centers have an exploding demand for memory and storage, surpassing that of consumer PCs and smartphones, potentially alleviating concerns regarding the latter's sluggish market growth

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The year 2024 is predicted to usher in a rebound for the memory sector, with Micron possibly setting new records in 2025.

On December 21, 2023, Micron released its financial results for the first quarter, indicating revenues of $4.73 billion for that period, exceeding analysts' expectations of $4.54 billionThis marked an 18% increase from the previous quarter’s $4.01 billion and a 16% jump year-on-year from $4.09 billion.

Following this announcement, Micron's stock surged for two consecutive trading days, reflecting a nearly 10% overall gain and bringing it close to historical highs.

According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), the global semiconductor market is expected to reach $588.3 billion in 2024, up from the earlier spring forecast of $576 billionThis growth is predominantly driven by the storage sector, which encompasses PCs, servers, and smartphones, with predictions of a recovery to $120 billion in 2024, marking over 40% growth year-on-year.

Citigroup has expressed an optimistic outlook for the chip industry's overall recovery, naming Micron as its top pick in the semiconductor sectorThe firm raised its price target for Micron's stock from $85 to $88 while maintaining a "Buy" ratingAccording to Seeking Alpha data, Wall Street analysts have given Micron a consensus "Buy" rating with an average target price of $85.94, indicating a potential upside of 9% over the next 12 months.

Reports have suggested that rising storage prices have led to a more aggressive procurement approach by downstream system manufacturers, resulting in shortages for some products

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